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Robert vs Real Tartane

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Robert averaging 1.1 xG at home and Real Tartane producing 1.1 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Robert
16%
Draws
42%
Real Tartane
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Real Tartane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Robert picked up more points recently compared to Real Tartane.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Robert Clean Sheet 21%
Real Tartane Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robert Real Tartane
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 6 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.91 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

09.05.15 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Real Tartane vs Robert
4:1
17.01.15 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Robert vs Real Tartane
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Robert

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Real Tartane

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Robert Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.68

Real Tartane Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
8 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
6 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.82

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Real Tartane • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Robert • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Real Tartane • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Robert • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robert 42 / 100
Real Tartane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robert Real Tartane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Tartane or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Robert will likely press early to force mistakes.

Robert 59%
Real Tartane 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Real Tartane should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Robert 54%
Real Tartane 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Robert 51%
Real Tartane 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Robert to push more players wide.

Robert 56%
Real Tartane 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Robert 51%
Real Tartane 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Robert 62%
Real Tartane 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Robert attacking → ← attacking Real Tartane

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Robert have scored in 90% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Real Tartane concede most goals (48%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 21 shots per game, well above the league median.

Robert are unbeaten in 5 straight matches when scoring first.

Real Tartane have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Robert wants a European spot, while Real Tartane is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 14
1.10 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2