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Robina City vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Robina Common, Gold Coast
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Adams H.
72' Event
Adams H.
75' Event
Adams H.

AI Match Summary

Robina City in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Robina City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Robina City
6%
Draws
4%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Robina City lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Robina City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Robina City Clean Sheet 20%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robina City St. George Willawong
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Robina City
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs St. George Willawong
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Orange J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robina City 85 / 100
St. George Willawong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robina City St. George Willawong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George Willawong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Robina City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Robina City scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Robina City VS St. George Willawong
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Robina City

(Home)
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Robina City
0 : 0
Broadbeach Utd.
27 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Robina City
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1
Capalaba FC
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St. George Willawong

(Away)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)