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Roccella vs Biancavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Coluccio A.
66' Event
Zugiani G.
88' Event
Viglianisi G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Roccella and Biancavilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roccella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Roccella
15%
Draws
0%
Biancavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Roccella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Roccella are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Roccella Clean Sheet 68%
Biancavilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella Biancavilla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 0.77 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Biancavilla
2:1
Mar 3, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Roccella
2:1
Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Biancavilla
2:0
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Roccella
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Top Goalscorer Coluccio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zugiani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Biancavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Viglianisi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 59 / 100
Biancavilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella Biancavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roccella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Biancavilla conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Biancavilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Roccella's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Biancavilla
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

Biancavilla

(Away)
22 May
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Castrovillari
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
04 May
Santa Maria Cilento
3 : 0
Biancavilla
27 Apr
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Sancataldese
24 Apr
Biancavilla
1 : 2
Troina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)