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Rocha vs Atenas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Rocha Logo

Rocha

0 - 1
FT
Atenas Logo

Atenas

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Suarez N.
48' Event
Britos M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atenas in this Segunda Division 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rocha
30%
Draws
42%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atenas lately — more wins on the board than Rocha.
  • Atenas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rocha Clean Sheet 18%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Atenas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Atenas
0:1
Jun 20, 2021 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Rocha
0:0
Oct 19, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Atenas
0:0
Aug 24, 2020 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Rocha
0:2
May 7, 2016 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Atenas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 20 / 100
Atenas 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rocha scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Atenas conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Rocha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atenas
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 6

Atenas

(Away)
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
02 Sept
Atenas
2 : 2
Penarol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)