Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division 2021 game between Rocha and Defensor Sp. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensor Sp..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Rocha carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Rocha taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rocha | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rocha Compare
Defensor Sp. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensor Sp. let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Rocha scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Away concern: Defensor Sp. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rocha
(Home)Defensor Sp.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albion | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 31:18 | 44 |
| 2 | Danubio | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp. | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 33:21 | 37 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Central Esp. | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:29 | 33 |
| 7 | Juventud | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 21:27 | 25 |
| 9 | Atenas | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 20:17 | 24 |
| 10 | Rampla Juniors | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 14:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Villa Teresa | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:32 | 18 |
| 12 | Rocha | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:36 | 15 |
