Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rocha vs Huracan Buceo

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2022
Wed, Aug 3, 2022
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Raguso N.
22' Event
Ruiz B.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Rocha advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rocha
15%
Draws
42%
Huracan Buceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rocha come out ahead of Huracan Buceo on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Huracan Buceo taking it.
  • Rocha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rocha, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rocha Clean Sheet 15%
Huracan Buceo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Huracan Buceo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Rocha vs Huracan Buceo
2:1
May 16, 2009 Segunda Division
Huracan Buceo vs Rocha
2:0
Dec 6, 2008 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Huracan Buceo
2:1
Apr 19, 2008 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Huracan Buceo
0:1
Oct 6, 2007 Segunda Division
Huracan Buceo vs Rocha
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Raguso N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Huracan Buceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 27 / 100
Huracan Buceo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Huracan Buceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huracan Buceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huracan Buceo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Rocha scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Huracan Buceo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rocha VS Huracan Buceo
0.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 7

Huracan Buceo

(Away)
17 Sept
Huracan Buceo
1 : 2
Ferro Carril
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
21 Jul
Lavalleja de Rocha
1 : 2
Huracan Buceo
16 May
Huracan Buceo
2 : 0
Rocha
09 May
Rentistas
3 : 2
Huracan Buceo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Atenas 2
Mar De Fondo 4
Huracan FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerrito -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 4
Palermo de Rocha 3
Piriapolis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Paso de la Arena 0
Lavalleja de Rocha 1
Huracan Buceo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Canadian Soccer Club 0
Racing Montevideo 1
Salto FC 0
Huracan Paysandu 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Tacuarembo 1
Central Esp. 3
Wanderers Juvenil 1
Club Atletico Artigas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto -
Sud America -
Paysandu FC 1
Paysandu Bella Vista 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 3
CA Cerro 2
Porongos 0
Boquita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes -
Villa Espanola -
Deportivo Colonia 3
Santa Emilia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Laureles 0
Colon 2
Los Halcones 1
Sportivo Barracas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Bella Vista 0
Rampla Juniors 1
Rio Negro 3
Wanderers Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
CA Alto Peru 0
Juventud 4
Parque Del Plata 1
Universal San Jose 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion -
Potencia 0
La Luz 7
Atletico Juanico 1
Deportivo Italiano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
1/32-finals
Atenas 0
Mar De Fondo 1
TBD -
Cerrito -
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Palermo de Rocha 1
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Huracan Buceo 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Racing Montevideo 1
Huracan Paysandu 0
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. 2
Club Atletico Artigas 1
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto 1
Paysandu FC 0
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 2
Boquita 1
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes 1
Deportivo Colonia 2
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Colon 3
Los Halcones 1
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Rampla Juniors 2
Rio Negro 1
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Juventud 1
Universal San Jose 0
TBD -
Albion -
La Luz 2
Deportivo Italiano 1
TBD -
Fenix -
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo 0
Cerrito 1
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Montevideo City 4
Rocha 0
Rentistas 3
Progreso 3
Danubio 2
Racing Montevideo 0
Defensor Sp. 1
Juventud Colonia 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Central Esp. 1
Liverpool M. 2
Universitario Salto 1
Wanderers 3
Durazno 1
Plaza Colonia 3
Deportivo Colonia 0
Cerro Largo 2
Colon 0
Penarol 2
Central San Jose 0
Boston River 2
Rampla Juniors 2
Maldonado 1
Miramar 0
Club Nacional 1
Juventud 0
Albion 1
La Luz 2
Fenix 1
1/8-finals
Cerrito 0
Montevideo City 1
Rentistas 0
Progreso 3
Defensor Sp. 2
River Plate Montevideo 0
Liverpool M. 4
Wanderers 0
Plaza Colonia 1
Cerro Largo 0
Penarol 1
Boston River 0
Rampla Juniors 3
Club Nacional 0
Albion 2
La Luz 3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City 1
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Liverpool M. 0
Plaza Colonia 0
Penarol 1
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Semi-finals
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 4
Penarol 1
La Luz 2
Final
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0