Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rocha vs Paso de la Arena

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2022
Rocha Logo

Rocha

2 - 0
FT
Paso de la Arena Logo

Paso de la Arena

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Suarez N.
(Penalty)
41'
61' Event
Resquini D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rocha in this Copa Uruguay 2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rocha
15%
Draws
0%
Paso de la Arena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rocha lately — more wins on the board than Paso de la Arena.
  • Win probability leans Rocha's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Rocha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rocha, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rocha Clean Sheet 17%
Paso de la Arena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Paso de la Arena
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 8 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.97 0
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Rocha vs Paso de la Arena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Resquini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Paso de la Arena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 39 / 100
Paso de la Arena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Paso de la Arena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rocha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Paso de la Arena conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Rocha's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Paso de la Arena has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rocha VS Paso de la Arena
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 6

Paso de la Arena

(Away)
27 Aug
Paso de la Arena
0 : 3
Boston River
12 Sept
Paso de la Arena
0 : 2
Montevideo City
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Atenas 2
Mar De Fondo 4
Huracan FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerrito -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 4
Palermo de Rocha 3
Piriapolis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Paso de la Arena 0
Lavalleja de Rocha 1
Huracan Buceo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Canadian Soccer Club 0
Racing Montevideo 1
Salto FC 0
Huracan Paysandu 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Tacuarembo 1
Central Esp. 3
Wanderers Juvenil 1
Club Atletico Artigas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto -
Sud America -
Paysandu FC 1
Paysandu Bella Vista 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 3
CA Cerro 2
Porongos 0
Boquita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes -
Villa Espanola -
Deportivo Colonia 3
Santa Emilia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Laureles 0
Colon 2
Los Halcones 1
Sportivo Barracas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Bella Vista 0
Rampla Juniors 1
Rio Negro 3
Wanderers Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
CA Alto Peru 0
Juventud 4
Parque Del Plata 1
Universal San Jose 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion -
Potencia 0
La Luz 7
Atletico Juanico 1
Deportivo Italiano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
1/32-finals
Atenas 0
Mar De Fondo 1
TBD -
Cerrito -
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Palermo de Rocha 1
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Rocha 2
Huracan Buceo 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Racing Montevideo 1
Huracan Paysandu 0
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Juventud Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. 2
Club Atletico Artigas 1
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Universitario Salto 1
Paysandu FC 0
TBD -
Wanderers -
Durazno 2
Boquita 1
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
Quilmes 1
Deportivo Colonia 2
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Colon 3
Los Halcones 1
TBD -
Penarol -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Rampla Juniors 2
Rio Negro 1
TBD -
Maldonado -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Juventud 1
Universal San Jose 0
TBD -
Albion -
La Luz 2
Deportivo Italiano 1
TBD -
Fenix -
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo 0
Cerrito 1
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
Montevideo City 4
Rocha 0
Rentistas 3
Progreso 3
Danubio 2
Racing Montevideo 0
Defensor Sp. 1
Juventud Colonia 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Central Esp. 1
Liverpool M. 2
Universitario Salto 1
Wanderers 3
Durazno 1
Plaza Colonia 3
Deportivo Colonia 0
Cerro Largo 2
Colon 0
Penarol 2
Central San Jose 0
Boston River 2
Rampla Juniors 2
Maldonado 1
Miramar 0
Club Nacional 1
Juventud 0
Albion 1
La Luz 2
Fenix 1
1/8-finals
Cerrito 0
Montevideo City 1
Rentistas 0
Progreso 3
Defensor Sp. 2
River Plate Montevideo 0
Liverpool M. 4
Wanderers 0
Plaza Colonia 1
Cerro Largo 0
Penarol 1
Boston River 0
Rampla Juniors 3
Club Nacional 0
Albion 2
La Luz 3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City 1
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Liverpool M. 0
Plaza Colonia 0
Penarol 1
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Semi-finals
Progreso 2
Defensor Sp. 4
Penarol 1
La Luz 2
Final
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0