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Rocha vs Rampla Juniors

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Santos F.
72' Event
Torres A.

AI Match Summary

Rocha in this Segunda Division 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rocha
15%
Draws
34%
Rampla Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rampla Juniors lately — more wins on the board than Rocha.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rocha Clean Sheet 20%
Rampla Juniors Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Rampla Juniors
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.42 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Rampla Juniors vs Rocha
2:1
Jul 22, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Rampla Juniors
2:0
Oct 31, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Rampla Juniors
1:0
Sep 4, 2020 Segunda Division
Rampla Juniors vs Rocha
3:1
Apr 24, 2016 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Rampla Juniors
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Rampla Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 32 / 100
Rampla Juniors 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Rampla Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rocha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Rampla Juniors conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Rampla Juniors has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rampla Juniors
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
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Rampla Juniors

(Away)
19 Oct
Atenas
1 : 0
Rampla Juniors
11 Oct
Rampla Juniors
0 : 1
Central Esp.
05 Oct
Tacuarembo
3 : 1
Rampla Juniors
27 Sept
Rampla Juniors
2 : 1
Rentistas
19 Sept
La Luz
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)