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Stadium Background

Rochdale vs Blackburn U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Spotland Stadium, Rochdale
Rochdale Logo

Rochdale

3 - 2
FT
Blackburn U21 Logo

Blackburn U21

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Beckwith S. In: Done M.
Out: Beckwith S.
1'
Sub
Adebayo-Rowling T. In: Griffiths J.
Out: Adebayo-Rowling T.
7' Event
McBride C.
Assist: Berkoe K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rochdale in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rochdale
15%
Draws
42%
Blackburn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochdale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rochdale lately — more wins on the board than Blackburn U21.
  • Rochdale are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Rochdale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 15%
Blackburn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochdale Blackburn U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.72 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Rochdale vs Blackburn U21
3:2
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Rochdale vs Blackburn U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer McBride C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mancini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Blackburn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Houghton L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wood H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochdale 35 / 100
Blackburn U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochdale Blackburn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochdale's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Blackburn U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Blackburn U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rochdale VS Blackburn U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochdale

(Home)
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2
Crawley Town
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0
Rochdale
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0
Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3
Rochdale
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Blackburn U21

(Away)
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0
Blackburn U21
28 Jul
Blackburn U21
5 : 2
Preston U21
24 Jul
Guiseley
3 : 2
Blackburn U21
17 Apr
Blackburn U21
0 : 2
Tottenham U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)