Sport Picks
Rochdale vs Wealdstone
England
National League 2025/2026 Spotland Stadium, Rochdale 
Match Events
41'
41'
Gordon K.
55'
55'
Sub
Smith T. In: Rodney D.
Out: Smith T.
58'
58'
Woodman D.
Assist: Cook J.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Rochdale and Wealdstone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochdale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wealdstone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rochdale come out ahead of Wealdstone on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Rochdale taking it.
- Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Rochdale have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 11%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochdale | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League
Rochdale vs Wealdstone
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Rochdale
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Rochdale vs Wealdstone
4:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Wealdstone vs Rochdale
2:0
Feb 27, 2024 National League
Rochdale vs Wealdstone
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Henderson I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hannant L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Wealdstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Woodman D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochdale 35 / 100
Wealdstone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochdale Wealdstone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochdale scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Wealdstone conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Wealdstone's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rochdale VS Wealdstone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochdale
(Home) 22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3 Halifax
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
28 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 3 Halifax
25 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 2 Farnham
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3 Al Rayyan
03 May
Rochdale
2 : 1 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 4
Wealdstone
(Away) 22 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Wealdstone
18 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Wolves U21
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
08 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 2 Wealdstone
01 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Wealdstone
08 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 2 Wealdstone
01 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2 Wealdstone
21 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Wealdstone
17 May
Southend
1 : 0 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
