Sport Picks
Rochedale U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
Australia
NPL Queensland U23 
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland U23 game between Rochedale U23 and Queensland Lions U23 finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rochedale U23 come out ahead of Queensland Lions U23 on wins alone.
- Rochedale U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochedale U23 | Queensland Lions U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 23 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Rochedale U23
4:1
Mar 11, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochedale U23 83 / 100
Queensland Lions U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochedale U23 Queensland Lions U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rochedale U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochedale U23 found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (24 games).
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Rochedale U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Queensland Lions U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 23 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rochedale U23 VS Queensland Lions U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochedale U23
(Home) 13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3 Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4 Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Eastern Suburbs U23
18 Jul
Rochedale U23
2 : 0 Brisbane City U23
01 Jul
Rochedale U23
1 : 3 Moreton City Excelsior U23
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Queensland Lions U23
(Away) 30 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 3 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2 Queensland Lions U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0 Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0 Queensland Lions U23
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16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2 Queensland Lions U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0 Queensland Lions U23
17 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
1 : 0 Queensland Lions U23
06 Jun
Brisbane City U23
4 : 4 Queensland Lions U23
31 May
Magic United TFA FC U23
0 : 3 Queensland Lions U23
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rochedale U23 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 61:27 | 50 |
| 2 | Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 60:31 | 44 |
| 3 | Queensland Lions U23 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 52:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC U23 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 58:39 | 43 |
| 5 | Gold Coast U23 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 52:45 | 41 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs U23 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43:32 | 31 |
| 7 | QLD State Team U17 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 46:57 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane City U23 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 42:54 | 24 |
| 9 | Olympic FC U23 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 35:55 | 23 |
| 10 | Wynnum Wolves U23 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Peninsula U23 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36:57 | 20 |
| 12 | Magic United TFA FC U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27:68 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)
