Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Queensland Underwood Park

Olympic FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rochedale play Olympic FC in the NPL Queensland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rochedale averaged 1.54 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Olympic FC averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Rochedale won 2, Olympic FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Rochedale and 2.06 for Olympic FC. This points to a Olympic FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Rochedale

15%

Draws

45%

Olympic FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Rochedale picked up more points recently compared to Olympic FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rochedale	Olympic FC
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.54	1.45
Goals Conceded	2.14	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Queensland

Rochedale vs Olympic FC

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Jul 13, 2024 NPL Queensland

Rochedale vs Olympic FC

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Apr 14, 2024 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Rochedale

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 13, 2023 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Rochedale

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 5, 2023 NPL Queensland

Rochedale vs Olympic FC

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Roberts M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Takagishi K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 38 / 100

Olympic FC 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rochedale Olympic FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olympic FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rochedale attacking → ← attacking Olympic FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Olympic FC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rochedale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olympic FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 33

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Peninsula	18	13	3	2	43:20	42
2	Queensland Lions	17	12	2	3	48:20	38
3	Moreton City Excelsior	17	10	2	5	43:25	32
4	Gold Coast Knights SC	16	10	2	4	40:25	32
5	Eastern Suburbs	17	9	1	7	32:26	28
6	Brisbane City	17	7	5	5	38:39	26
7	Wynnum Wolves	18	7	5	6	29:34	26
8	Olympic FC	17	6	2	9	31:35	20
9	Rochedale	18	4	3	11	27:45	15
10	Brisbane Roar U23	18	4	1	13	26:43	13
11	Magic United TFA FC	17	4	1	12	21:50	13
12	Gold Coast Utd	16	3	1	12	19:35	10