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Rochedale vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Underwood Park, Rochedale
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Miyazawa H.
90' Event
Kovach E.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Rochedale and Peninsula finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peninsula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rochedale
30%
Draws
23%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Peninsula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Peninsula have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale Peninsula
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Peninsula
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Rochedale
3:1
Jun 22, 2024 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Rochedale
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Peninsula
0:2
Jul 21, 2023 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Rochedale
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovach E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 30 / 100
Peninsula 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Peninsula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Rochedale remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale VS Peninsula
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochedale

(Home)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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Peninsula

(Away)
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2
Peninsula
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Peninsula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)