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Rochedale vs SD Raiders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Underwood Park, Rochedale
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Malfara S.
36' Event
Knezevic L.
Assist: Letta J.
48' Event
Klajic N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rochedale
15%
Draws
42%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Raiders come out ahead of Rochedale on wins alone.
  • Model gives SD Raiders a 42% chance of winning this.
  • SD Raiders arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SD Raiders, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale SD Raiders
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Australia Cup
Rochedale vs SD Raiders
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 26 / 100
SD Raiders 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale SD Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

SD Raiders has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: SD Raiders registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale VS SD Raiders
1.43 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochedale

(Home)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
Page 1 of 6

SD Raiders

(Away)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -