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Rochedale vs SD Raiders

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Underwood Park
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Malfara S.
36' Event
Knezevic L.
Assist: Letta J.
48' Event
Klajic N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Australia Cup game between Rochedale and SD Raiders finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rochedale
30%
Draws
34%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Raiders come out ahead of Rochedale on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rochedale a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 12%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale SD Raiders
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Australia Cup
Rochedale vs SD Raiders
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochedale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 35 / 100
SD Raiders 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale SD Raiders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rochedale scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

SD Raiders has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

SD Raiders's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale VS SD Raiders
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tigers FC-
Western Sydney Wanderers-
Kingborough Lions-
Melbourne Victory-
Azzurri United-
Macarthur FC-
APIA Leichhardt2
Peninsula1
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus4
Rochedale1
SD Raiders2
Weston Workers Bears-
Melbourne City-
Bayswater-
Sydney FC-
Maitland-
Fremantle City-
Queensland Lions-
Perth Glory-
Cumberland United-
Heidelberg Utd-
Sydney Utd-
Central Coast-
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions-
Newcastle Jets-
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-