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Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Rochester FC and Thunder Bay Chill finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rochester FC
6%
Draws
90%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rochester FC haven't matched Thunder Bay Chill's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Thunder Bay Chill a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thunder Bay Chill here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 17%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 21
Draws 1 3
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC
2:0
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:4
Jun 30, 2023 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:2
Jun 2, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 10 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Rochester FC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Rochester FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochester FC

(Home)
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Rochester FC
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
17 Jun
Rochester FC
2 : 1
RKC SC
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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