Sport Picks

USA

USL League Two 2024

Thunder Bay Chill

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rochester FC play Thunder Bay Chill in the USL League Two 2024. Thunder Bay Chill are favorites here. Recently, Rochester FC averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Thunder Bay Chill averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Rochester FC won 1, Thunder Bay Chill won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 7, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Rochester FC and 1.38 for Thunder Bay Chill. This points to a Thunder Bay Chill double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Rochester FC

15%

Draws

58%

Thunder Bay Chill

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Rochester FC picked up more points recently compared to Thunder Bay Chill.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Rochester FC Clean Sheet 17%

Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rochester FC	Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played	38	32
Wins	13	22
Draws	2	4
Losses	23	6
Goals Scored	1.24	2.19
Goals Conceded	2.26	1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two

Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two

Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Jun 30, 2023 USL League Two

Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Jun 2, 2023 USL League Two

Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 28 / 100

Thunder Bay Chill 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rochester FC Thunder Bay Chill

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)

Secondary Pick Thunder Bay Chill & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rochester FC attacking → ← attacking Thunder Bay Chill

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochester FC scored in 63% of their last 38 games.

Thunder Bay Chill let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Rochester FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Thunder Bay Chill lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 70

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00