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Rochester New York vs New England Revolution II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rochester New York play New England Revolution II in the MLS Next Pro 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rochester New York averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. New England Revolution II averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Rochester New York won 2, New England Revolution II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 27, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Rochester New York and 1.68 for New England Revolution II. This points to a New England Revolution II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rochester New York
15%
Draws
44%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rochester New York picked up more points recently compared to New England Revolution II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 13%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester New York New England Revolution II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs New England Revolution II
2:0
Jun 18, 2022 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Rochester New York
1:2
Apr 3, 2022 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Rochester New York
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

New England Revolution II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester New York 40 / 100
New England Revolution II 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester New York New England Revolution II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New England Revolution II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rochester New York attacking → ← attacking New England Revolution II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochester New York scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

New England Revolution II let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rochester New York went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New England Revolution II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toronto FC II241401044:3841
2Rochester New York241401037:3040
3Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
4New York City II241301149:3537
5New England Revolution II241001427:4233
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Inter Miami II241101340:4936
3Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
4Orlando City B24801640:5325
5FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
4Real Monarchs24701728:5023
5Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St. Louis City 224160851:3449
2Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
3North Texas24150948:3146
4Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
5Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
6Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Toronto FC II241401044:3841
3Rochester New York241401037:3040
4Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
5New York City II241301149:3537
6Inter Miami II241101340:4936
7New England Revolution II241001427:4233
8Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
9Orlando City B24801640:5325
10FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2St. Louis City 224160851:3449
3Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
4North Texas24150948:3146
5San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
6Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
8Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
9Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
10Real Monarchs24701728:5023
11Portland Timbers 224601829:6614