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Rockdale Ilinden vs SD Raiders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Malbasa J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and SD Raiders finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rockdale Ilinden
15%
Draws
51%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Raiders come out ahead of Rockdale Ilinden on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 11%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden SD Raiders
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs SD Raiders
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Malbasa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 30 / 100
SD Raiders 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden SD Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Raiders has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Rockdale Ilinden's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

SD Raiders's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS SD Raiders
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockdale Ilinden

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1
Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6

SD Raiders

(Away)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)