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Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
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AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden play St George Saints in the NPL NSW. Rockdale Ilinden are favorites here. Recently, Rockdale Ilinden averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. St George Saints averaged 1 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Rockdale Ilinden won 5, St George Saints won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.13 for St George Saints. This points to a Rockdale Ilinden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Rockdale Ilinden
15%
Draws
23%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Rockdale Ilinden picked up more points recently compared to St George Saints.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 21%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden St George Saints
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:0
Jun 1, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4
Mar 6, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 60 / 100
St George Saints 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden St George Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rockdale Ilinden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rockdale Ilinden & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rockdale Ilinden attacking → ← attacking St George Saints

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockdale Ilinden scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

St George Saints let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Rockdale Ilinden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St George Saints lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 24
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715