Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Griffiths L.
27' Event
Speranza G.
43' Event
Farias R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rockdale Ilinden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rockdale Ilinden
28%
Draws
22%
Sydney FC U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rockdale Ilinden lately — more wins on the board than Sydney FC U23.
  • Rockdale Ilinden are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rockdale Ilinden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 18%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Sydney FC U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:2
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23
2:1
Aug 19, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
May 12, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney FC U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Speranza G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 49 / 100
Sydney FC U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Sydney FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Rockdale Ilinden's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sydney FC U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rockdale Ilinden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Sydney FC U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918