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Rockford Raptors vs Edgewater Castle

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Rockford Raptors and Edgewater Castle finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rockford Raptors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rockford Raptors
6%
Draws
4%
Edgewater Castle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockford Raptors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Edgewater Castle haven't matched Rockford Raptors's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rockford Raptors a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rockford Raptors Clean Sheet 13%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockford Raptors Edgewater Castle
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 6 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Rockford Raptors vs Edgewater Castle
3:2
May 16, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs Rockford Raptors
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockford Raptors 84 / 100
Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockford Raptors Edgewater Castle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockford Raptors's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Edgewater Castle let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Edgewater Castle lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rockford Raptors VS Edgewater Castle
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%