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Rockmount vs Waterford

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2004/2005
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Waterford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rockmount
20%
Draws
58%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Waterford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Waterford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Waterford, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Waterford here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rockmount Clean Sheet 12%
Waterford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockmount Waterford
Matches Played 16 33
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2016 League Cup
Waterford vs Rockmount
4:0
Sep 15, 2004 FAI Cup
Rockmount vs Waterford
1:2
Sep 10, 2004 FAI Cup
Waterford vs Rockmount
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockmount 10 / 100
Waterford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockmount Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Defensive concern: Waterford conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Rockmount's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Rockmount has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Waterford
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockmount

(Home)
19 May
Ballyfermot
3 : 0
Rockmount
18 Aug
Bohemians
6 : 0
Rockmount
22 Jul
Gorey Rangers
1 : 2
Rockmount
19 Apr
Maynooth University
5 : 1
Rockmount
02 Apr
Pike Rovers
1 : 0
Rockmount
Page 1 of 4

Waterford

(Away)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Waterford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bray 0
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 1
Dublin City 0
Portmarnock 1
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 4
Glebe North 0
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Bohemians 8
Shelbourne 4
Finn Harps 1
Galway United 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 3
Dundalk 2
Wayside Celtic 1
St. Patricks 4
Drumcondra FC 3
Quay Celtic 4
Cork City 0
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 3
Tullamore 0
Limerick 5
Cobh Ramblers 6
Shamrock Rovers 3
Carrick Utd 0
Leeds Cork 0
Longford 3
1/8-finals
Waterford 7
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 0
Rockmount 2
Kildare County 1
Bohemians 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Drogheda 2
St. Patricks 0
Drumcondra FC 0
UC Dublin 5
Athlone 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Waterford 4
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 2
Longford 5
Semi-finals
Waterford 2
Derry City 1
Drogheda 1
Longford 2
Final
Waterford 1
Longford 2