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Roda vs Patacona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Benlloch S.
20' Event
Roz A.
28' Event
El Jmili N.

AI Match Summary

Roda in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Roda
20%
Draws
20%
Patacona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Patacona haven't matched Roda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Roda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Roda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%
Patacona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Patacona
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Patacona
5:3
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Patacona
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer El Jmili N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Prera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Patacona Compare

Top Goalscorer Benlloch S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 77 / 100
Patacona 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Patacona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Patacona conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Roda found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Patacona's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
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Patacona

(Away)
11 May
Patacona
0 : 2
Roda
04 May
Villarreal C
1 : 1
Patacona
26 Apr
Patacona
0 : 2
Atzeneta
17 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
3 : 2
Patacona
13 Apr
Patacona
0 : 0
Castellonense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)