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Rodez AF W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Chapelle K.

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rodez AF W
30%
Draws
58%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Le Mans W lately — more wins on the board than Rodez AF W.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 11%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Le Mans W
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Rodez AF W
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Rodez AF W
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Feb 18, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Le Mans W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez AF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapelle K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 10 / 100
Le Mans W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Rodez AF W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Le Mans W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)