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Rodez AF W vs Montpellier W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montpellier W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rodez AF W
35%
Draws
46%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montpellier W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montpellier W lately — more wins on the board than Rodez AF W.
  • Win probability leans Montpellier W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Montpellier W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Montpellier W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montpellier W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 10%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Montpellier W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Montpellier W
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Montpellier W
2:3
Nov 26, 2022 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Rodez AF W
2:1
Aug 18, 2021 Club Friendly Women
Rodez AF W vs Montpellier W
0:3
Apr 13, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Montpellier W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 10 / 100
Montpellier W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Rodez AF W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Montpellier W
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)