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Rodez AF W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Babinga P.
50' Event
Charpentier A.
67' Event
Eninger T.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rodez AF W
20%
Draws
60%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo W lately — more wins on the board than Rodez AF W.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Rodez AF W
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Saint-Malo W
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Saint-Malo W
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Rodez AF W
1:0
Feb 9, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Rodez AF W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez AF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Babinga P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charpentier A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 32 / 100
Saint-Malo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Saint-Malo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rodez AF W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Saint-Malo W
1.17 Goals Scored 1
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)