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Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Toulouse W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rodez AF W
30%
Draws
23%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodez AF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulouse W lately — more wins on the board than Rodez AF W.
  • Model gives Rodez AF W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Toulouse W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toulouse W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Toulouse W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 10%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez AF W Toulouse W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.8 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
5:0
Apr 25, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
4:4
Dec 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez AF W 83 / 100
Toulouse W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez AF W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez AF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Toulouse W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rodez AF W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Toulouse W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodez AF W VS Toulouse W
1.17 Goals Scored 2.13
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez AF W

(Home)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)