Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adeline M.
10'
Adeline M.
41'
Jean-Lambert E.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rodez
35%
Draws
30%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rodez average 1.89 goals a game right now, well clear of Troyes's 1.86.
  • Model gives Rodez a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rodez here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Troyes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.89 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Troyes
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Troyes
2:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Rodez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Saka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arconte T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeline M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 47 / 100
Troyes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Troyes conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Rodez went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Troyes
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
08 Aug
Rodez
3 : 1
Laval
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Troyes

(Away)
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)