Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Arconte T.
30'
Mendes J.
54'
Zohore N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Rodez and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rodez
6%
Draws
4%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Rodez's recent run of results.
  • Rodez are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rodez here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Boulogne
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Rodez
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Boulogne
1:0
Apr 11, 2019 Ligue 3
Rodez vs Boulogne
3:1
Nov 22, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
0:3
Mar 16, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Arconte T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 95 / 100
Boulogne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Boulogne let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rodez stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Boulogne
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)