Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Arconte T.
30'
Mendes J.
54'
Zohore N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Rodez and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rodez
35%
Draws
32%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Rodez's recent run of results.
  • Rodez are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rodez here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rodez Clean Sheet 18%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Boulogne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.8 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Rodez
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Boulogne
1:0
Apr 11, 2019 Ligue 3
Rodez vs Boulogne
3:1
Nov 22, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
0:3
Mar 16, 2018 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rodez
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Arconte T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 41 / 100
Boulogne 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Boulogne conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rodez stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Boulogne
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
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Boulogne

(Away)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)