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Stadium Background

Rodez vs Red Star

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Balde I.
Assist: Saka M.
33' Event
Haag G.
57'
Sub
Trani G. In: Khaoui S. E.
Out: Trani G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Rodez and Red Star finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rodez
6%
Draws
4%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Red Star on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rodez a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Red Star
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Rodez
2:3
Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Red Star
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Rodez
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Rodez
1:1
Jan 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Red Star
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Haag G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 95 / 100
Red Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Red Star has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Rodez has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Red Star
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1
Red Star
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
12 May
Red Star
2 : 3
Rodez
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)