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Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 2 vs D. Bryansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ushakov E.
8' Event
Volovich K.
11'
Danilov T.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 2 in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rodina Moscow 2
20%
Draws
29%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Bryansk have won more games recently than Rodina Moscow 2.
  • Win probability leans Rodina Moscow 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 68%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 D. Bryansk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs D. Bryansk
3:1
Oct 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Rodina Moscow 2 vs D. Bryansk
2:3
Aug 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1
Sep 22, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 2 vs D. Bryansk
1:0
Jul 24, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
D. Bryansk vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ushakov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khorin A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

D. Bryansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Volovich K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 68 / 100
D. Bryansk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 D. Bryansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

D. Bryansk let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS D. Bryansk
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
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D. Bryansk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2
D. Bryansk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)