Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 3 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Basyrov S.

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rodina Moscow 3
30%
Draws
34%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Shumbrat Saransk lately — more wins on the board than Rodina Moscow 3.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow 3 taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 14%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Basyrov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 35 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 3 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FK Shumbrat Saransk let in goals in 59% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 3

(Home)
25 Jul
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
04 Jul
Rodina Moscow 3
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
27 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
20 Jun
Rodina Moscow 3
9 : 1
Penza
14 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
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FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
3 : 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk
27 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 0
Ryazan
20 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
13 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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