Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow 3 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Basyrov S.

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Shumbrat Saransk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rodina Moscow 3
20%
Draws
33%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Shumbrat Saransk lately — more wins on the board than Rodina Moscow 3.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow 3 taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 17%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:3
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Basyrov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 48 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 3 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FK Shumbrat Saransk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 3 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 3

(Home)
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
22 Aug
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
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FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
23 Aug
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
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