Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow U19 vs Ural U19

Russia Russia

Youth League Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gazhalov D.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Ages I.
65' Event
Zheludkov D.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Rodina Moscow U19 and Ural U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rodina Moscow U19
15%
Draws
21%
Ural U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodina Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rodina Moscow U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Rodina Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Ural U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow U19 Ural U19
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.58 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Youth League
Rodina Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
3:2
Mar 20, 2026 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Rodina Moscow U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ages I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Averyanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Ural U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zheludkov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow U19 95 / 100
Ural U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow U19 Ural U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow U19 scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Ural U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow U19 VS Ural U19
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 1
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
11 Sept
Almaz Antey U19
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Spartak Moscow U19
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
21 Aug
Rodina Moscow U19
8 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
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Ural U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Ural U19
0 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
11 Sept
Rubin Kazan U19
0 : 4
Ural U19
04 Sept
Konoplev Academy U19
3 : 0
Ural U19
28 Aug
Ural U19
3 : 6
Zenit St Petersburg U19
21 Aug
Krasnodar U19
4 : 0
Ural U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 24 18 2 4 77:33 56
2 Krasnodar U19 24 17 2 5 72:36 53
3 Zenit St Petersburg U19 24 16 3 5 68:32 51
4 Rodina Moscow U19 24 15 3 6 62:31 48
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 24 14 5 5 59:37 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 24 13 5 6 51:37 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 24 11 5 8 46:51 38
8 Spartak Moscow U19 24 7 10 7 38:41 31
9 FK Rostov U19 24 9 4 11 36:42 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 24 9 2 13 39:46 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 24 7 3 14 32:56 24
12 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 24 6 5 13 33:55 23
13 Ural U19 24 6 4 14 29:51 22
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 24 5 4 15 29:64 19
15 Rubin Kazan U19 24 4 3 17 26:59 15
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 24 3 4 17 25:51 13
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)