Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodinghausen vs Bonner

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Probst E.

AI Match Summary

Rodinghausen in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodinghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rodinghausen
15%
Draws
0%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodinghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rodinghausen at 1.41 per game, Bonner at 1.1.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rodinghausen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rodinghausen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rodinghausen Clean Sheet 68%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodinghausen Bonner
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Rodinghausen
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Rodinghausen
0:1
Nov 13, 2021 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodinghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Probst E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bonner Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodinghausen 95 / 100
Bonner 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodinghausen Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Bonner registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rodinghausen scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Rodinghausen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodinghausen VS Bonner
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodinghausen

(Home)
08 Aug
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Bonner
01 Aug
B. Monchengladbach II
2 : 0
Rodinghausen
25 Jul
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Kassel
22 Jul
Jeddeloh
2 : 0
Rodinghausen
18 Jul
Emden
1 : 4
Rodinghausen
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Bonner

(Away)
08 Aug
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Bonner
31 Jul
Bonner
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
25 Jul
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Bonner
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)