Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodinghausen vs SSVg Velbert

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Corsten T.
49' Event
Golubytskij A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rodinghausen
15%
Draws
76%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • SSVg Velbert have won more games recently than Rodinghausen.
  • Model gives SSVg Velbert a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rodinghausen Clean Sheet 10%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodinghausen SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs SSVg Velbert
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Rodinghausen
2:3
Apr 12, 2024 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Rodinghausen
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs SSVg Velbert
4:1
Apr 30, 2016 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Rodinghausen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodinghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Corsten T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Golubytskij A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodinghausen 14 / 100
SSVg Velbert 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodinghausen SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodinghausen found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

SSVg Velbert let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Rodinghausen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodinghausen VS SSVg Velbert
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodinghausen

(Home)
27 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 1
Rodinghausen
18 Sept
Rodinghausen
1 : 1
Gutersloh
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
Rodinghausen
2 : 3
Wiedenbruck
02 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
2 : 1
Rodinghausen
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)