Sport Picks
Rodopa Smolyan vs Asenovets
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Rodopa Smolyan and Asenovets finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodopa Smolyan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rodopa Smolyan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rodopa Smolyan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Rodopa Smolyan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 14%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Asenovets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.67 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Asenovets
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Asenovets
4:1
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Rodopa Smolyan vs Asenovets
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodopa Smolyan 84 / 100
Asenovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodopa Smolyan Asenovets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asenovets has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Rodopa Smolyan scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Rodopa Smolyan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rodopa Smolyan VS Asenovets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
2 Goals Conceded 3.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodopa Smolyan
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
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19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
30 May
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
17 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
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Asenovets
(Away) 27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1 Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2 Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1 Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0 Asenovets
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27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1 Asenovets
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1 Asenovets
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0 Asenovets
29 Apr
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 0 Asenovets
17 Apr
Rakovski 2011
2 : 0 Asenovets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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