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Rodopa Smolyan vs Levski Karlovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodopa Smolyan host Levski Karlovo in the Third League - South-East. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Levski Karlovo have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Rodopa Smolyan have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Rodopa Smolyan slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.56 - 1.06) back Rodopa Smolyan to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rodopa Smolyan
20%
Draws
30%
Levski Karlovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Levski Karlovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rodopa Smolyan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 20%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodopa Smolyan Levski Karlovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Levski Karlovo
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Levski Karlovo
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Levski Karlovo
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodopa Smolyan 76 / 100
Levski Karlovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodopa Smolyan Levski Karlovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Levski Karlovo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rodopa Smolyan's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rodopa Smolyan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodopa Smolyan VS Levski Karlovo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodopa Smolyan

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
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Levski Karlovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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