Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Stadion Septemvri

Rodopa Smolyan

0 - 1

Maritsa Milevo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maritsa Milevo in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Rodopa Smolyan

20%

Draws

38%

Maritsa Milevo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Maritsa Milevo have won more games recently than Rodopa Smolyan.
Model gives Rodopa Smolyan a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Maritsa Milevo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%

Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rodopa Smolyan	Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	3	9
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.63	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-East

Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Rodopa Smolyan

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-East

Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Rodopa Smolyan

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodopa Smolyan 40 / 100

Maritsa Milevo 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rodopa Smolyan Maritsa Milevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodopa Smolyan found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Rodopa Smolyan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maritsa Milevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rodopa Smolyan VS Maritsa Milevo

1.63 Goals Scored 2.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23