Sport Picks
Rodopa Smolyan vs Spartak Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Stadion Septemvri, Smolyan 
AI Match Summary
Rodopa Smolyan in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodopa Smolyan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spartak Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Rodopa Smolyan.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Spartak Plovdiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Spartak Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Spartak Plovdiv
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodopa Smolyan 34 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodopa Smolyan Spartak Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Rodopa Smolyan's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Rodopa Smolyan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rodopa Smolyan VS Spartak Plovdiv
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodopa Smolyan
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
30 May
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
17 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 3
Spartak Plovdiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4 Spartak Plovdiv
30 May
Yambol 1915
4 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
17 May
Nesebar
6 : 1 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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