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Rokita Brzeg Dolny vs Piast Zmigrod

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2015/2016
Sun, Jun 5, 2016
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rokita Brzeg Dolny host Piast Zmigrod in the III Liga - Group III 2015/2016. Piast Zmigrod are expected to control this from the start. Rokita Brzeg Dolny have averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Piast Zmigrod's 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Rokita Brzeg Dolny have won 0 to Piast Zmigrod's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2016, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.19, favoring Piast Zmigrod. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
22%
Draws
18%
Piast Zmigrod
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rokita Brzeg Dolny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Piast Zmigrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rokita Brzeg Dolny a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rokita Brzeg Dolny Clean Sheet 20%
Piast Zmigrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rokita Brzeg Dolny Piast Zmigrod
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 3 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2016 III Liga - Group III
Rokita Brzeg Dolny vs Piast Zmigrod
0:3
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group III
Piast Zmigrod vs Rokita Brzeg Dolny
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rokita Brzeg Dolny 58 / 100
Piast Zmigrod 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rokita Brzeg Dolny Piast Zmigrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piast Zmigrod let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Piast Zmigrod has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rokita Brzeg Dolny scored in 31% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Rokita Brzeg Dolny VS Piast Zmigrod
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rokita Brzeg Dolny

(Home)
25 Jul
Polonia Sroda Slaska
1 : 3
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
05 Jun
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
0 : 3
Piast Zmigrod
29 May
Stilon Gorzow
3 : 0
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
26 May
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
0 : 3
Gornik Walbrzych
21 May
Katy Wroclawskie
3 : 0
Rokita Brzeg Dolny
Page 1 of 6

Piast Zmigrod

(Away)
21 Feb
Piast Zmigrod
2 : 3
Woliborz
21 Feb
Sleza Wroclaw
3 : 0
Piast Zmigrod
19 Feb
Piast Zmigrod
0 : 3
Brzeg
19 Jul
Piast Zmigrod
0 : 6
Sleza Wroclaw
19 Jan
Sleza Wroclaw
4 : 0
Piast Zmigrod
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polkowice34253688:3978
2Gornik Walbrzych34253674:2578
3Sleza Wroclaw34198771:3565
4Legnica II34197886:4364
5Lechia Dzierzoniow342031154:4063
6Slask Wroclaw II34196974:4263
7Piast Zmigrod341831360:4657
8Formacja Port 2000 Mostki341821471:5056
9Stilon Gorzow341671155:3855
10Zaglebie II341661278:3954
11LKS Blyskawica Gac341391251:4548
12Ilanka Rzepin341341753:7543
13Polonia Swidnica341261647:5342
14Piast Karnin34891736:6133
15Karkonosze Jelenia Gora34862041:7430
16Budowlani Lubsko34532632:10918
17Katy Wroclawskie34282420:10114
18Rokita Brzeg Dolny34152816:928
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)