Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roland Beckum vs Neuenkirchen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Roland Beckum averaging 1.9 xG at home and Neuenkirchen producing 1.3 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Roland Beckum
23%
Draws
34%
Neuenkirchen
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Roland Beckum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Roland Beckum picked up more points recently compared to Neuenkirchen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Roland Beckum Clean Sheet 18%
Neuenkirchen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roland Beckum Neuenkirchen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

05.03.17 Oberliga Westfalen
Roland Beckum vs Neuenkirchen
2:3
04.09.16 Oberliga Westfalen
Neuenkirchen vs Roland Beckum
2:2
10.04.16 Oberliga Westfalen
Neuenkirchen vs Roland Beckum
0:4
18.10.15 Oberliga Westfalen
Roland Beckum vs Neuenkirchen
3:3
22.02.15 Oberliga Westfalen
Roland Beckum vs Neuenkirchen
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Roland Beckum

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Neuenkirchen

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roland Beckum Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
12 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
9 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.19

Neuenkirchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
10 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.95

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Neuenkirchen • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Roland Beckum • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Neuenkirchen • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Roland Beckum • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roland Beckum 42 / 100
Neuenkirchen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roland Beckum Neuenkirchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Roland Beckum or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Roland Beckum will likely press early to force mistakes.

Roland Beckum 59%
Neuenkirchen 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Neuenkirchen should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Roland Beckum 54%
Neuenkirchen 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Roland Beckum 51%
Neuenkirchen 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Roland Beckum to push more players wide.

Roland Beckum 56%
Neuenkirchen 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Roland Beckum 51%
Neuenkirchen 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Roland Beckum 62%
Neuenkirchen 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Roland Beckum attacking → ← attacking Neuenkirchen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roland Beckum have scored in 91% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Neuenkirchen concede most goals (52%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 22 shots per game, well above the league median.

Roland Beckum are unbeaten in 4 straight matches when scoring first.

Neuenkirchen have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Roland Beckum wants a European spot, while Neuenkirchen is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 34
1.94 Goals expected (xG) 1.31
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2