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Stadium Background

Rolandia EC vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Dener

AI Match Summary

Rolandia EC in this Paranaense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rolandia EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Rolandia EC
17%
Draws
13%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rolandia EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Rolandia EC have won more games recently than Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense.
  • Rolandia EC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rolandia EC Clean Sheet 20%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rolandia EC Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Matches Played 20 14
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Paranaense 3
Rolandia EC vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Paranaense 3
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Rolandia EC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rolandia EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dener
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolandia EC 67 / 100
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rolandia EC Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rolandia EC scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rolandia EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rolandia EC VS Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batel851214:816
2Hope Internacional83327:412
3Iraty83327:812
4Araucaria82247:98
5Prudentopolis81345:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arapongas861124:519
2Rolandia EC851217:1116
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense83238:811
4Campo Mourao831418:1510
5CA Cambe80173:311
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vere FC640211:812
2Toledo64029:712
3Oeste Brasil630310:59
4Uniao PR61051:113