Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2012

Ariquemes FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rolim de Moura play Ariquemes FC in the Campeonato Rondoniense 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rolim de Moura averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Ariquemes FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Rolim de Moura won 0, Ariquemes FC won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2016 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Rolim de Moura and 1.60 for Ariquemes FC. This points to a Ariquemes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Rolim de Moura

31%

Draws

47%

Ariquemes FC

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Rolim de Moura picked up more points recently compared to Ariquemes FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.60 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Rolim de Moura Clean Sheet 14%

Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rolim de Moura	Ariquemes FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	7
Draws	6	10
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	0.77	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2016 Rondoniense

Ariquemes FC vs Rolim de Moura

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Mar 12, 2016 Rondoniense

Rolim de Moura vs Ariquemes FC

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Apr 20, 2014 Rondoniense

Ariquemes FC vs Rolim de Moura

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Mar 20, 2014 Rondoniense

Rolim de Moura vs Ariquemes FC

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

May 10, 2013 Rondoniense

Ariquemes FC vs Rolim de Moura

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolim de Moura 23 / 100

Ariquemes FC 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rolim de Moura Ariquemes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ariquemes FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rolim de Moura attacking → ← attacking Ariquemes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rolim de Moura scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Ariquemes FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rolim de Moura went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ariquemes FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 31

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.83

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vilhena	14	9	4	1	26:7	31
2	Espigao	14	7	5	2	31:20	26
3	Ariquemes FC	14	7	5	2	24:13	26
4	Ji-Parana	14	6	5	3	26:18	23
5	Genus	14	5	4	5	25:18	19
6	Moto Clube RO	14	5	3	6	28:24	18
7	Rolim de Moura	14	2	2	10	20:34	8
8	Uniao Cacoalense	14	1	0	13	7:53	3