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Rolim de Moura vs Espigao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2013
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2013 game between Rolim de Moura and Espigao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rolim de Moura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rolim de Moura
20%
Draws
29%
Espigao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rolim de Moura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espigao come out ahead of Rolim de Moura on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rolim de Moura a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Espigao have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rolim de Moura Clean Sheet 11%
Espigao Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rolim de Moura Espigao
Matches Played 44 39
Wins 13 21
Draws 7 10
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1.43 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
2:1
Mar 29, 2013 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Rolim de Moura
1:0
May 16, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Rolim de Moura
6:3
Apr 15, 2012 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
1:3
May 8, 2011 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolim de Moura 74 / 100
Espigao 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rolim de Moura Espigao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rolim de Moura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rolim de Moura scored in 68% of their last 44 outings.

Defensive concern: Espigao conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Rolim de Moura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rolim de Moura VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rolim de Moura

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
02 Apr
Genus
4 : 1
Rolim de Moura
30 Mar
Rolim de Moura
0 : 1
Porto Velho
22 Mar
Rolim de Moura
2 : 2
Guapore
Page 1 of 9

Espigao

(Away)
10 May
Vilhena
3 : 1
Espigao
01 May
Espigao
1 : 0
Ji-Parana
29 Apr
Genus
2 : 2
Espigao
21 Apr
Rolim de Moura
2 : 1
Espigao
14 Apr
Espigao
2 : 4
Pimentense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pimentense 12 6 3 3 24:17 21
2 Genus 12 5 5 2 24:17 20
3 Ariquemes FC 12 4 7 1 15:12 19
4 Vilhena 12 5 2 5 15:13 17
5 Espigao 12 4 3 5 16:19 15
6 Rolim de Moura 12 5 0 7 14:23 15
7 Ji-Parana 12 1 4 7 12:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2013 (Play Offs)