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Stadium Background

Roma City vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2024/2025
Wed, Nov 20, 2024
0 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Fontana M.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Giannini M.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Battistoni J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Aquila Calcio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Roma City
35%
Draws
45%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aquila Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Aquila Calcio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aquila Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Roma City Clean Sheet 22%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.51
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Roma City
0:0
Nov 20, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Roma City vs Aquila Calcio
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Roma City
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Aquila Calcio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Roma City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Aquila Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquila Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roma City

(Home)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Imperia Calcio 0
Vado 1
Saluzzo 3
Chisola 0
Lavagnese 3
Bra 1
Brusaporto 1
Sangiuliano City 2
Club Milano 2
NovaRomentin 0
Sant'Angelo 3
Varese FC 0
Oltrepo 0
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Real Calepina 0
Vigasio 0
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Campodarsego 1
Adriese 2
Mestre 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Lentigione 2
Ravenna 3
Fossombrone 1
Sambenedettese 1
Vigor Senigallia 2
Castelfidardo 4
Civitanovese Calcio 1
Livorno 3
Ghiviborgo 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
San Donato Tavarnelle 1
Figline 1
Sangiovannese 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Sporting Trestina 0
Atl. Lodigiani 0
Roma City 3
Aquila Calcio 1
Termoli 0
Ostiamare 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2
Guidonia 1937 1
Cassino 0
Paganese 1
Scafatese 2
Nocerina 1
Ischia 2
Virtus Francavilla 0
Martina Calcio 1
Fidelis Andria 2
Casarano 3
Gelbison 2
Matera 1
Reggina 2
AS Acireale 1
Akragas 0
Enna 2
Siracusa 3
Paterno 0
1/16-finals
Vado 0
Saluzzo 1
Lavagnese 2
Sangiuliano City 1
Club Milano 1
Sant'Angelo 2
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 4
Adriese 3
Lentigione 0
Ravenna 1
Vigor Senigallia 1
Castelfidardo 2
Livorno 3
Seravezza Pozzi 0
Sangiovannese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Roma City 0
Aquila Calcio 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Guidonia 1937 2
Scafatese 6
Ischia 0
Martina Calcio 1
Casarano 0
Gelbison 1
Reggina 3
Enna 3
Siracusa 2
1/8-finals
Saluzzo 0
Lavagnese 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Piacenza 3
Cjarlins Muzane 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Ravenna 2
Castelfidardo 1
Livorno 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Aquila Calcio 0
Guidonia 1937 4
Scafatese 0
Martina Calcio 1
Reggina 1
Enna 2
Quarter-finals
Lavagnese 2
Piacenza 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Ravenna 3
Livorno 2
Guidonia 1937 3
Martina Calcio 1
Enna 0
Semi-finals
Lavagnese 1
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 5
Martina Calcio 0
Final
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 2