Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roma City vs Avezzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Mascella M.
81' Event
Gelonese L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Roma City
20%
Draws
51%
Avezzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avezzano lately — more wins on the board than Roma City.
  • Avezzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Roma City Clean Sheet 18%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Avezzano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Avezzano
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Roma City
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Avezzano
3:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Roma City
2:0
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Avezzano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelonese L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Avezzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mascella M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 10 / 100
Avezzano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Avezzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roma City scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Avezzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Roma City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Roma City VS Avezzano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roma City

(Home)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
Page 1 of 6

Avezzano

(Away)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)