Sport Picks

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Roman vs FC Bacau 2

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2008/2009
Fri, Apr 24, 2009
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Roman host FC Bacau 2 in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2008/2009. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Roman at 1.85 goals for, 1.39 against; FC Bacau 2 at 1.37 for, 2.27 against. Past meetings favor Roman slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2009, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.24) back Roman to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Roman
15%
Draws
37%
FC Bacau 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Roman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Roman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Roman Clean Sheet 19%
FC Bacau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roman FC Bacau 2
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.85 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Roman vs FC Bacau 2
3:0
Oct 17, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau 2 vs Roman
1:1
Mar 13, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 1
FC Bacau 2 vs Roman
0:0
Sep 11, 2007 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Roman vs FC Bacau 2
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roman 85 / 100
FC Bacau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roman FC Bacau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roman found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (41 games).

FC Bacau 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Roman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Bacau 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roman

(Home)
15 Aug
Viitorul Liteni
2 : 1
Roman
26 May
Avantul Valea Marului
0 : 3
Roman
18 May
Roman
4 : 0
CSM Pascani
12 May
Sanatatea Darabani
3 : 5
Roman
09 May
Roman
0 : 2
Bucovina Radauti
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FC Bacau 2

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Bacau 2
0 : 6
Adjud
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
2 : 1
FC Bacau 2
11 Sept
FC Bacau 2
3 : 2
Viitorul Onesti
05 Sept
Targu Secuiesc
2 : 2
FC Bacau 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 34 28 2 4 72:12 86
2 Otelul 2 34 23 5 6 97:29 74
3 FC Pambac Bacau 34 23 5 6 72:36 74
4 CSM Focsani 34 17 10 7 71:36 61
5 Panciu 34 17 8 9 50:28 59
6 Roman 34 17 7 10 45:25 58
7 Aerostar 34 17 6 11 57:26 57
8 Voluntari 34 15 8 11 53:33 53
9 Foresta Suceava 34 14 9 11 54:32 51
10 Poli Iasi B 34 15 5 14 56:52 50
11 CSM Pascani 34 13 4 17 39:61 43
12 Ozana Targu Neamt 34 10 10 14 39:51 40
13 Willy Bacau 34 11 6 17 59:60 39
14 Ceahlaul II 34 10 3 21 47:70 33
15 Raraul Campulung 34 8 6 20 25:124 30
16 FC Bacau 2 32 3 8 21 19:68 17
17 Barlad 32 5 2 25 17:69 17
18 Luceafarul Mihai 32 3 4 25 11:71 13
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)