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Romania U17 vs Italy U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fugazzola M.
32'
Albini M.
35'
Goncear A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2026 game between Romania U17 and Italy U17 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Romania U17
20%
Draws
52%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Romania U17's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Romania U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 21
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.77 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U17
Romania U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
Oct 25, 2020 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Romania U17
0:0
Mar 23, 2019 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Romania U17
3:0
Mar 28, 2008 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Romania U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matei C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fugazzola M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perillo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania U17 40 / 100
Italy U17 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Romania U17 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Italy U17 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Romania U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Romania U17 VS Italy U17
1.6 Goals Scored 2
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania U17

(Home)
05 Jun
Serbia U17
2 : 1
Romania U17
02 Jun
Serbia U17
1 : 0
Romania U17
31 Mar
Romania U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
28 Mar
Portugal U17
0 : 1
Romania U17
25 Mar
Iceland U17
2 : 5
Romania U17
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Slovenia U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Germany U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 North Macedonia U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Romania U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Iceland U17 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Portugal U17 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro U17 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
2 Greece U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Sweden U17 3 1 1 1 9:5 4
4 Norway U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Czech Republic U17 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Austria U17 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
4 Kazakhstan U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Serbia U17 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Switzerland U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Cyprus U17 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Scotland U17 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Turkey U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Northern Ireland U17 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U17 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Ireland U17 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Poland U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Slovakia U17 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Main)