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Stadium Background

Romania U21 vs Finland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stadionul Eugen Popescu, Targoviste
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Dorobantu A. In: Baraitaru M.
Out: Dorobantu A.
28' Event
Hyrylainen L.
Assist: Mentu P.
37'
Vermesan I.

AI Match Summary

Finland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Romania U21
15%
Draws
53%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Romania U21.
  • Model gives Finland U21 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Romania U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Finland U21
0:2
Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Romania U21
2:0
Sep 10, 2024 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Romania U21
2:0
Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Finland U21
1:0
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
Romania U21 vs Finland U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyrylainen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania U21 18 / 100
Finland U21 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Romania U21 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Finland U21 conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Romania U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Romania U21 VS Finland U21
1 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Romania U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
25 Sept
Cyprus U21
0 : 3
Romania U21
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
27 Mar
Kosovo U21
0 : 1
Romania U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
Page 1 of 6

Finland U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Romania U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
25 Sept
Finland U21
2 : 1
Spain U21
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)