Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Mihaila V.
Assist: Stanciu N.
8'
8'
Matulevicius G.
34'
34'
Kucys A.
Assist: Lasickas J.
AI Match Summary
Romania in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Romania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Romania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lithuania haven't matched Romania's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Romania taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Romania have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Romania Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Romania | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:1
Nov 17, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:0
Oct 11, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
Mar 23, 2016 Friendly International
Romania vs Lithuania
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Romania Compare
Top Goalscorer Mihaila V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mitrita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Lithuania Compare
Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Romania 86 / 100
Lithuania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Romania Lithuania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Romania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Romania found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Lithuania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Romania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Romania VS Lithuania
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Romania
(Home) 06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1 Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0 Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0 Romania
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1 San Marino
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1 San Marino
12 Oct
Romania
1 : 0 Austria
09 Oct
Romania
2 : 1 Moldova
05 Sept
Romania
0 : 3 Canada
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Lithuania
(Away) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
09 Oct
Finland
2 : 1 Lithuania
10 Jun
Denmark
5 : 0 Lithuania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
